No stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of the sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. 

Oral Roberts to cover 

 no stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of the sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. 

Minnesota to cover 

 No stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of this sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. 

Play on UCDavis to cover 

The Pittsburgh Penguins must figure out how to be competitive without top scorer Sidney Crosby.Crosby leads the Penguins with 17 points (five goals and 12 assists). Meanwhile, New Jersey is 5-4-2 since opening the season with six straight losses and are a becoming alot more cohesive and a dangerous opponent in their current form. 

The Devils are 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings with the Penguins.

Play on the NY Devils to win on the ML

The Celtics won't be at full strength for the trip out west, and for at least a month after that, with the loss of high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward to a broken left hand earlier in the week. Im betting this will hamper the offensive flow of the Celtics and they will take a more defensive, stance for a while to compensate for their offensive loss. Tonight because of this Im betting this Total is slightly bloated with the value towards the under. BOSTON i in 13 road games    after 6 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 216.1 ppg.

These teams have gone under in the L/4 meetings. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better  PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7  or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Orlando are No.1 in ppg allowed in the NBA behind the 30th ranked pace. San Antonio is currently struggling and Im sure the Magic game plan will be to further take them out of their game with a suffocating physical effort which Im betting will contribute to a lower scoring affair.

ORLANDO is 27-15 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season ARE 39-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Im betting the flow of the Celtics will be tested here tonight in Golden State as they play with out .high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward who has  a broken left hand. I know the Golden State Warriors look to be a shambles right now, but Im betting they gather up some pride and make a game of this here tonight on their own home floor.

GOLDEN STATE is 23-7 ATS L/30  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.

NBA Road teams (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% . or less) are 6-25 ATS L/23 seasons for go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Golden State  Warriors 

After an impressive win  by 102-93 win against the Los Angeles Clippers , Im now sold on the Rockets as a two team. My power rankings make the Rockets a 7 point fav here so we have value on this line. HOUSTON is 14-2 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better  of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 19-79 L/ 5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in -9.2  ppg. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover 

HC Williams  of Texas A&M has this to say about his battle with the Gonzaga  Bulldogs. He says many of his players are not aware of what awaits. END QUOTE:

"A portion of our team is unaware of what Gonzaga is," Williams said Wednesday. "They don't know they played in the Elite Eight last season. They don't know they played in the Final Four in 2015. They don't know they've been to the NCAA Tournament 21 straight years. END QUOTE.

  I feel sorry for Williams if this is true, and not some lame story he's telling his young group to illustrate  to them that you cant fear what you don't know  . Anyway my projections make Gonzaga closer to 10 point power ranking favs here, thus giving us value laying the lumber on the current line.

TEXAS A&M is 0-7 ATS in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.4 ppg.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GONZAGA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game, after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more are 88-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Gonzaga to cover 

Cal State Northridge  is going to play this game without the reigning Big West Player of the Year, Lamine Diane. That is a monumental task for a team that is ranked 311th in adjusted defensive efficiency and are allowing a 92.7 pp. Meanwhile, Auburn always seems to play their best at home where they have covered 6 straight times, and considering the mammoth divide in their D, vs the Matadors D, it becomes obvious that this has blow out written all over it. Auburn owns the  45th-ranked  adjusted defensive efficiency. 

Play on Auburn to cover 

Charlotte is on a four-game losing streak, while the Pistons have dropped three games in a row. Both are obviously not performing optimally and both are desperate for wins. With that said, Im betting on a hard fought game here tonight thus getting points with the home dog is viable wagering opportunity.CHARLOTTE is 17-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

Charlotte has won 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series SU. 

NBA team  (DETROIT) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are just 32-73 U L/23  seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

I know LA Techs  Skip Holtz is known as  a cover machine, as an underdog and is on a 8 game win streak overall and obviously red hot, but Marshall is no push overs and the most physical team in the CUSA holding opponents to 3.8 ypc. This Thunder Hered team must be respected here as short faves as Marshall can clinch the East with a win tonight. 

CFB (LOUISIANA TECH) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 17-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Marshall to cover 

This is the second time in three seasons Rhode Island and Alabama  will meet. Rhody played at Alabama two seasons ago, falling 68-64 in a closely contested tilt and now pay back is on the agenda.The only other meeting in the series came as part of the 1992 Cable Car Classic in Santa Clara, Calif. Alabama won 79-78.Friday night will mark the first time the Rams have hosted an SEC program in the Ryan Center and Im betting this place is going to rocking giving the home side the edge. Look for the physical take no prisoners play of RI senior Cyril Langevine who is leading the nation with 16.0 rebounds per game to be the catalyst for a Rhode Island victory.

Crimson Tide are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic 10.

Play on Rhode Island to cover 

South Carolina improved to 2-0 on the young season when it posted a 66-32 victory over Wyoming at Colonial Life Arena on Sunday behind a top tier D, which Im betting will once again play a smothering style of basketball.  The Gamecock defense is holding opponents to just 24.0 percent from the field thus far, which leads the SEC and ranks third nationally. Needless to say, I expect Cleveland will not do much offensive damage here and only put up 50 points vs Minnesota  on the road in their opener and just 53 points on the board vs Missouri state as visitors. Clevelands output and Carolina D and pace make this an under wager.

Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 non-conference games.

Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Gamecocks last 6 home games.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 7-1 in Gamecocks last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Gamecocks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 9-3 in Gamecocks last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Under is 14-5 in Gamecocks last 19 Friday games. 

Play UNDER

Washington enters this game ranked 8th in pace in the league 8th in ppg(115.6) , and 28th in ppg allowed(120). Meanwhile, Minnesota is ranked 5th in pace, 4th in offensive output (117.2), and 25th in ppg allowed(116.2). Its obvious both sides run and gun with reckless abandon, while exhibiting an inability or disinterest in playing D. It is what it is. A far is this total is concerned, and how high it might seem, you have to remember this is the new NBA , and totals like this will show up more and more often as the league continues its quest to entertain the public. There can be under value with bloated totals, but this one not one of them. 

WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER  versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more  free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244.6 ppg scored.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Wolves average 119.2 ppg and opposition  average 114.7 ppg. Based on a aggregate output system I use, 3-6 . points per team is projected above these numbers making this a viable over situation based on past performance trends and current form.

Play OVER 

San Diego State is off a ugly loss toNevada last week. Rocky Long in my opinion has one his very few sub par teams, even though the pundits would disagree with me. As usual the defence is staunch, but when you can only muster an average of  20.8 PPG (112th nationally) you have problems. Im betting on a talented Fresno State side to do some damage here this week via a run game that averages 5.3 ypc, and for the Aztecs to continue to struggle putting points on the board.

FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS  against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. 

FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons and have cashed 13 of their L/17 ATS on the road.FRESNO ST is 10-1 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

 DIEGO ST is 1-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO ST is 2-9 ATS in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Fresno State to cover 

Kawhi Leonard and Amir Coffey are expected to miss tonight for the Clippers which will effect their flow. Meanwhile, Atlanta is also short handed with a boat load full of injuries, something that will also effect their flow, especially since they will be on tired legs playing their their 4th straight road game in west coast road trip in less than a week. 

The Clippers are 0-5 UNDER L/5 as a home favorite with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. 

Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 overall.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Indiana played last night in Houston  so they should be on tired legs, but what impresses me about this team is their never say die attitude. I mean these guys are like energizer bunnies and must never be underestimated , even against a top tier team like Milwaukee. Last night the  Pacers limited the sharp shooting Rockets to 14 of 46 (30.4 percent) from long distance and just 40.4 percent shooting overall and Im betting that can replicate those numbers again here on their own home floor in a key divisional matchup vs another strong downtown shooting team. 

Indiana is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series at home. 

Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Pacers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Pacers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are  just 30-77 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

Brooklyn is 1-3 on the trip and is coming off three straight losses to the Phoenix Suns, Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets and in their current form fade material vs the Chicago Bulls. 

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

Nets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games.Nets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Nets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Nets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Nets are 77-238 ATS since 1995 as a road dog after playing as a road dog.

Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The reason for the Dallas Stars' early-season rebound?

According to center Tyler Seguin, they've gotten back to their "greasy ways." 

What Sequin means by that is the team is back to playing a very disciplined defensive system. The Stars opened the season 1-7-1, but are 9-1-1 since and are my choice here vs what is a talented but undisciplined Edmonton side. 

DALLAS is 11-4 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons.

EDMONTON is 1-9 ATS after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (EDMONTON) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season are 69-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to win on the ML

The Bruins are entering the 2019-2020 season following some of their most historic seasons ever. Fans saw coach Rick Byrd’s 800th win, the program’s first ever at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament and even its first ever win in the tournament and with with young superstars like Nick Muszynski, Grayson Murphy and Mitch Listau, this team remains capable of huge things, and matchup well here vs BC today. 

BELMONT is 9-0 ATS  as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.BELMONT is 15-4 ATS  after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons.Alexander is 8-0 ATS in road games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997.Alexander is 18-4 ATS as a road underdog or pick in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Belmont to cover 

Spartan Invitational - 2nd Rd - Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, NC

MONTANA ST is 11-2 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

UNC-GREENSBORO is 11-25 L/36  ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of  39% or less. 

Tulane looks to start the season 3-0 for the second time in the last three seasons and build on its +15.0 scoring margin against opponents following its first two wins over Southeastern Louisiana and Jackson State. My power rankings and matchup stats say they can do it and convincingly. 

CBB  favorite (TULANE) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games are 60-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tulane to cover 

at Scotiabank Arena - Toronto, ON

UB is looking to do something no MAC program has ever done before and thats win a third straight MAC Title. They have the ability and the talent, and must never be underestimated via a balanced group that has five different players averaging double figures in scoring through the first two games this season, led by Graves, who is averaging 16.0 points per game.UB features one of the more veteran teams with an average age of just under 21-years old and have an edge vs Harvard in this Tournament game here this afternoon.

CBB Neutral court teams (HARVARD) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 8-31 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Buffalo to cover 

The George Mason Patriots will be going for their fourth consecutive win when they take on the James Madison Dukes in a rivalry game  on Saturday night but Im betting that wont come easily vs a side that matches up well against them according to tiered powered rankings.

GEORGE MASON is 2-15 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on James Madison to cover 

Im betting Tony Bennetts pack line D, is going to over power Columbia here this afternoon . Virginia has already held Syracuse and James Madison to 34 point outputs, and already this season ranks No.1 in the country in defence. Meanwhile, Columbia with a 0-2 record already this season on the road and  ranking 181st in the nation and offence, will find the sledding very tough here today, in what Im betting will be a vast DD margin of victory for the Cavaliers on their own home court for their 8th straight cover dating back to last season.

VIRGINIA is 15-4 ATS after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA is 21-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +24.7. 

Play on Virginia to cover 

Hawaii squares off against Portland State in an early season matchup. Hawaii beat Pacific by five points at home on Monday, while Portland State came up short in an 85-74 game at Indiana on Saturday. Although it’s a small sample size with just three games played into the season, acting head coach Chris Gerlufsen believes the team has extreme potential. QUOTE:"I think we’re tough,' said Gerlufsen. “I was super proud of our group, we showed resolve and grit and really as a coach that’s all you can ask for, that a team is bought in and will play a full 40 minutes.” END QUOTE: I tend to agree with him. END QUOTE

PORTLAND ST is 0-8 ATS   when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

Ganot is 10-2 ATS  in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers as the coach of HAWAII.

Play on Hawaii to cover 

LSU after a monumental win vs Alabama last week, will now find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a Mississippi program, that needs two wins before the reg season ends to become Bowl eligible. After a week of celebrating the Tigers hangover is real, and mustering the energy to play at 100% will be nearly impossible if improbable which opens up the door for a motivated home dog that has cashed in  4 of their L/5 at home vs .850 or better opposition to get us the cover. Note: Underdogs who win matchups of 6-0 or better teams  are 0-6 ATS in the followup as favorites of 21 or less points since 1980. 

 LSU is 2-10 ATS L/12 off an upset win as a road underdog.

CFB team (OLE MISS) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 92-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

The Gators smashed  visiting Vanderbilt 56-0 last weekend, and come in here with revenge on their minds for losses to Missouri in each of the past two seasons. The Tigers won 45-16 at home in 2017 before prevailing 38-17 in The Swamp last season. However, this Gators team is different from those groups, as this team can put points up in bunches averaging 33.3 ppg. Today I expect very little mercy from Florida as they pile up the points, and for Missouri to finally wake up from a recent ugly 3 game road trip where their usually efficient offence went to sleep. Here at home where the Tigers thrive ( 5-0) Missouri has averaged 40.4 ppg and a rebound is expected as QB Kelly Bryant returns to the lineup.  (The graduate transfer from Clemson missed last week's loss at Georgia after suffering a hamstring injury two weeks earlier at Kentucky.)Bryant has completed 140 of 225 passes (62.2 percent) for 1,845 yards, 14 touchdowns and five interceptions in eight games this season. 

Note: My projections estimate that Florida will score 28+ points. FLORIDA is 7-0 OVER  in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 61.2 ppg going on the score board.

Offensively, Florida averages 419.5 yards (ranked 56th nationally), while Missouri is at 402.9 yards per game (72nd nationally).

FLORIDA is 6-0 OVER as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 59.5 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER 

HC Nick Rolovich,  of Hawaii is 1-12-1 ATS as a favourite in his tenure with the  Paradise Island football program and is once again laying points here on the road at UNLV.  I know the Rebels may not inspire bettors but they did upset SEC opponent Vanderbilt earlier this season, and on occasion have shown flashes of brilliance , so they truly are not as bad some think, just very inconsistent .  Meanwhile, HC Sanchez has seen his Sin City team cash at a 4-0-1 ATS rate in the last 5 meetings. I know the Warriors can really do some offensive damage , but as good as their attack is their defence is equally horrendous and have allowed an average  510 YPG over the last five tilts, and ripe to take on more punishment here against a team desperate for positive results. 

Play on UNLV to cover 

The under achieving Cardinals lost in Colorado in their last game 16-13. But its important to note Stanfords coach Shaw  in his career has been  a bounce back specialist to the extreme, as his team when coming off a SU favorite loss, are 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS , including 15-0 ATS the last fifteen tilts .  With Stanford  getting double digits on the road Saturday we have a value side to bet into vs a Washington State side, that despite of owning a top tier offence, also have a horrendous D and because of this , sit at the bottom of the PAC 12 North. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and Im betting will get the cheese again.

STANFORD is 23-9 ATS  in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more  yards/game .

STANFORD is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON ST since 1992.

CFB team (WASHINGTON ST) - excellent offensive team (6.2  or more YPP) against a team with a struggling defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB team (WASHINGTON ST) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against an average offensive team (330-390 YPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Stanford to cover 

Minnesota has surprised alot of pundits this season, and are now 9-0 on the season after beating a very good Penn State team last week. The Gophers were sky higher for that game, and left everything on the field and now a natural regression and emotional let down situation  is at hand here in Iowa this Saturday. Note: College Football 8-0 or better away teams off a double-digit ATS win as an underdog are 0-6 ATS dating back 37 seasons.

IOWA is 20-7 ATS L/27 vs. explosive offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game.

OWA is 11-1 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1992.

CFB team (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 17-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa to cover 

Auburn is  being under rated here vs what my projections are currently telling me is  a slightly over rated Georgia Buldogs team that had numerous injuries last week in their game against Missouri. The Tigers have been strong at home this season with a 4-0 record, and lost by just 3 points to new SEC power house LSU and deserve out respect here as home dogs. 

AUBURN is 11-1 ATS  in home games vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points/game and is15-1 ATS in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game.

Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn is 10-0 SU with rest in conference games in his career, as well as 8-0 SU off a bye versus unrested opponents.

Play on Auburn to cover 

Alabama is off a disheartening loss to LSU at home last week,  which will have the Crimson Tide in an emotional letdown situation, as DD road chalk, which has me backing the home dog in this spot.

ALABAMA is 1-8 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more  rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons.

Saban is 4-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses as the coach of ALABAMA.

MISSISSIPPI ST is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons

Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.Crimson Tide are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Bulldogs are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

CFB home team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 80-38 ATS L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Mississippi State to cover