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Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - NBA All Star Side Smash on board for Sunday Feb 17.Get the info the books do not want you to have.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 17, 2019
Team LeBron vs Team Giannis
Team Giannis
+6 -115 at Bovada
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

I have analyzed the rosters and matchups for this contest and Im now releasing a very viable point-spread selection. I will say its been a while since I bet a All star fromat game, but this one has enough value that Im willing to recommend we pull the trigger. 

Alot is being made of Super star LeBron James side, but the Greek Freak Antetokounmpo and center Joel Embiid and Thunder forward Paul George,Stephen Curry and Kemba Walker (playing at home in Charlotte) are a big strong group with heaps of athletic prowess and will not make life easy for James and company.With Russell Westbrook and Middleton coming off the bench this Giannis group is dangerous and a good bet in my opinion getting points. 

Take the points with Team Giannis

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 17, 2019
Houston vs Tulane
OVER 140 -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

In its most recent action, Tulane (4-19) dropped an 80-57 decision against Tulsa in New Orleans on Thursday. there D, was atrocious in that game, and Im betting Houston(24-1) will light them up here today, and Tulane will chase , which in turn will make for a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. 

The last two meetings in this series went over the total, and 7 of the L/9 meetings overall. 

TULANE is 11-2 OVER  after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more and  is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152 pp scored.HOUSTON is 21-9 OVER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 45-11 OVER  L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Feb 17, 2019
Capitals vs Ducks
UNDER 5½ -101 Lost
$101.0
Play Type: Premium

The Ducks have scored just 2.16 goals per game, last in the NHL, with the next closest team at 2.40 per game and will have a hard time scoring again vs the the defending Stanley Cup champion Capitals who are off a beatdown of San Jose last time out. Knowing how explosive the Caps will be and how limited the Ducks offence is as well, I expect a game plan by Anaheim that will focus on disciplined defence and attacking only in transition, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. 

Under is 7-1 in Capitals last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

ANAHEIM is 22-6 UNDER in non-conference games this season.ANAHEIM is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (WASHINGTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 17, 2019
Missouri State vs Loyola-Chicago
Loyola-Chicago
-6 -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

 LUC  after last years huge run that took them deep into the NCAAA tourney has become a distant memory for most, but despite of not being as prolific as last season still   lead the MVC with a 9-4 record . Today they could summon up what made them great last season vs a Missouri State team that embarrassed them back in January  by a unbelievable 70-35 blowout score that stung more than a locker room wet towel to the cannolis.  Now with huge revenge on board   Im betting on a huge effort and payback scenario . It must be noted that Missouri State is just 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games and  despite of that above mentioned victory are just  2-7 ATS mark in this series of late, and have failed to cover 4 of their 5 as  visitors.  

MISSOURI ST is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 season.LOYOLA-IL is 21-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS  after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSOURI ST) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Loyola Chicago

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.