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Brandon Lee Brandon Lee
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Titans vs Giants
Giants
+1½ -110 at sportsbook
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Free

10* FREE NFL PICK (Giants +1.5)

I personally see a ton of value with New York. I think the Giants are playing the better football right now. Even with Odell Beckham sidelined, I still trust New York’s offense more than the Titans. Tennessee’s offense offers little to no threat of a passing attack and I think that makes them vulnerable to losing to any team in the league.

Sure if the rush for 200+ yards they will be tough to beat, but don’t be fooled by that performance. Sure it looks good coming against what is perceived to be a good Jaguars defense. However, Jacksonville clearly has thrown in the towel on their season and were in a horrible spot having to play on the road on just 3 days of rest.

That’s why I’m not reading anything into that win. I’m expecting to see something more similar to the Titans team that needed to rally from a 13-point deficit at home against the Jets to pull out a 26-22 win the week before. I not only think the Giants are winning this game, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they won here going away.

Over the last 3 seasons the Titans are a miserable 1-10 ATS on the road after a game where their offense averaged 6 or more yards/play and have lost in this spot by an average of 9.3 ppg. Tennessee is also 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons when they play on the road having won 2 or more games in a row. Give me the Giants +1.5!

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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Packers vs Bears
Packers
+6 -115 at Bovada
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

40* NFL BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Packers +6) 

I just can’t pass up getting almost a touchdown with Aaron Rodgers, especially with the Packers’ backs against the wall. As sweet as it would be for the Bears to clinch the NFC North on their home field against Green Bay after 4 straight seasons of finishing last in the division, I got a sneaky feeling that Rodgers is going to find some way to spoil Chicago’s celebration.

I was actually on the Packers last week in their blowout win against the Falcons, as I expected this team to respond in a real positive way to the firing of McCarthy. I think Rodgers was sick and tired of his play calling and just the overall effort was way better. There’s also just something about this team, when it’s a do-or-die situation, they always seem to find a way to win.

I get the Bears haven’t forgot about that Week 1 loss to the Packers, but this far from a must-win for Chicago and there’s a chance they come out flat off that emotional win at home last week against the Rams.

While the Bears were able to upset Los Angeles, the offense didn’t have the same look to it in Mitch Trubisky’s return to the lineup. I think there’s still some rust he has to shake off and this Green Bay defense is certainly capable of slowing him down.

I also want to point out how not so far fetched it is for Green Bay to make the playoffs. There’s 4 teams ahead of them for the final Wild Card. Three of those are the Eagles Panthers and Redskins. Carolina has to play the Saints and the Eagles visit the Rams this week, while Washington is a complete mess with Josh Johnson starting at quarterback. That leaves the Vikings, who are only 1-game ahead of them and Minnesota has not exactly been playing great football of late.

It’s also worth noting that Rodgers has absolutely owned the Bears in his career. Green Bay is 17-4 (15-6 ATS) in games that Rodgers starts against the Bears and a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 starts at Soldier Field. Give me the Packers +6!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Raiders vs Bengals
Bengals
-3 -114 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

50* NFL LATE SEASON GAME OF THE YEAR (Bengals -3)

I believe the books have completely missed the mark here. I get the Bengals come in having lost 5 straight and have lost Andy Dalton, but there's no way they shouldn't be closer to a touchdown favorite against the Raiders. 

Oakland threw in the towel on the 2018 season before the season even started. Sure they got up the last two weeks at home agains the Chiefs and Steelers. They hung around with KC and upset Pittsburgh. I think it sets up a huge flat spot against another struggling team, especially with a big rivalry game at home against the Broncos next week. Might be the last time those two teams face off in Oakland and potentially the game the Raiders will play in Oakland. 

Cincinnati isn't getting near enough credit for how well they played last week at the Chargers. They lost 26-21 and had their chances to pull off the upset. I've liked what I've seen out of quarterback Jeff Driskel and a talented Bengals defensive front should have their way with a banged up Raiders offensive line. Give me Cincinnati -3! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Cowboys vs Colts
Colts
-2½ -115 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* NFL PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Colts -2.5) 

I'll take my chances laying the short number with Indianapolis at home. I just think this is the right spot to play against the Cowboys, as I not only think they are getting way too much respect here on the road against a red-hot Colts team, but I also feel like this is a big time letdown spot for Dallas.

With that win over the Eagles the Cowboys all but locked up the NFC East. They not only have a 2-game lead over both the Eagles and Redskins, but they will also hold the tie breaker against both teams, meaning the only way Dallas doesn’t win the division is if they lose out and either Washington or Philadelphia win their final 3 games. I think it’s pretty safe to say the Redskins won’t be going 3-0 over the final 3 weeks with all the injuries they have been dealt and the Eagles are likely to lose at the Rams on Sunday Night Football. I actually think there’s a really good chance that the Cowboys lose this game and still end up waking up Monday as the NFC East winners.

There’s zero doubt in my mind that Dallas hasn’t played these scenarios out in their head, which is why I think it will be so difficult for them to show up here with the kind of mindset it will take to beat a team that’s playing as well as the Colts.

It’s also worth pointing out that Ezekiel Elliott is banged up and while he’s expected to play, I got a good feeling the Cowboys are going to limit his touches after he had 40 last week against the Eagles. Not to mention the Dallas offensive line could be without stud right guard Zack Martin, who is dealing with a knee injury.

The Colts don’t have the luxury of taking this game or any of their final 3 off. It’s unlikely Indianapolis will be able to catch the Texans in the AFC South and one of the Wild Card spots is going to either the Chiefs or Chargers, which means there’s only one spot up for grabs.

This has also historically been a great time to back the Colts, as they are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 home games off an upset win as a road dog. It’s also worth pointing out that Dallas is just 2-4 on the road compared to 6-1 at home. Cowboys are also a mere 3-11 ATS under head coach Jason Garrett when they come into a game having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7. Give me the Colts -2.5!

SERVICE BIO

Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!